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Hedge Logistica Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

677,627.80

decreased by 8.00

1 Week

668,809.26

decreased by 8,826.54

1 Month

616,548.68

decreased by 61,087.12

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hedge Logistica Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 57762 trading days (~229.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0199
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

1.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-18.1083
0.00
γ244.6356
1.81*
γ3-35.9431
-1.60
γ49.3297
0.44
γ54.5331
0.21
γ6-10.0632
-0.48
γ76.7695
0.30
γ80.4069
0.02
γ90.0000
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

57762 days