Crown Castle Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026
1 Day
39.56
decreased by 2.15
1 Week
41.89
increased by 0.18
1 Month
47.58
increased by 5.87
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 18, 1998 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 79 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~79 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2556 | 5.01*** |
| αARCH | 0.0787 | 13.77*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9126 | 141.38*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0129 | -1.77* |
| γ2 | 0.0244 | 2.22** |
| γ3 | -0.0072 | -0.70 |
0.991
Persistence79d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2556 | 5.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0787 | 13.77*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9126 | 141.38*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0129 | -1.77* |
| γ2 | 0.0244 | 2.22** |
| γ3 | -0.0072 | -0.70 |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
79 days
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