V-Lab
Crown Castle Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
61.34
decreased by 5.07
1 Week
57.23
decreased by 9.18
1 Month
51.55
decreased by 14.86
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 18, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 72 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1463 | 3.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0799 | 13.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9106 | 135.23*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | -0.0418 | -0.77 |
| γ2 | 0.0301 | 0.39 |
| γ3 | 0.0294 | 0.52 |
| γ4 | -0.0334 | -0.69 |
| γ5 | 0.0567 | 1.26 |
| γ6 | -0.0558 | -1.18 |
| γ7 | 0.0224 | 0.33 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
72 days
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