Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ SpA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
37,717.27
increased by 392.51
1 Week
35,292.18
decreased by 2,032.58
1 Month
36,943.27
decreased by 381.49
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 12:42 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2005 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 81 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6416 | 8.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1144 | 14.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8771 | 102.39*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0028 | 1.32 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
81 days
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