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Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ SpA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

55,336.21

decreased by 4,991.36

1 Week

57,895.20

decreased by 2,432.37

1 Month

59,643.98

decreased by 683.59

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ SpA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2005 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~82 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6493
8.44***
αARCH0.1134
14.46***
βGARCH0.8782
103.44***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0035
1.72*

0.992

Persistence

82d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6493
8.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1134
14.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8782
103.44***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0035
1.72*

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

82 days