V-Lab
Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ SpA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
45,994.14
decreased by 542.06
1 Week
46,267.93
decreased by 268.27
1 Month
40,527.28
decreased by 6,008.92
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2005 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6448 | 8.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1141 | 14.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8775 | 102.79*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0031 | 1.45 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
82 days
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