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V-Lab

Klepierre Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

384.96

increased by 25.23

1 Week

366.71

increased by 6.98

1 Month

414.78

increased by 55.05

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Klepierre ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 1991 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 130 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4223
4.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0544
7.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9403
114.43***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0347
-4.34***
γ20.0678
5.21***
γ3-0.0447
-4.56***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

130 days