V-Lab
Klepierre ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
347.94
1 Week
379.66
1 Month
436.41
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 28, 1991 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.1312 | 5.87*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6627 | 12.01*** |
| γleverage | -0.1312 | -1.55 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.2563 | 0.47 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0334 | 5.25*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9663 | 158.10*** |
0.728
Persistence2d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1312 | 5.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6627 | 12.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1312 | -1.55 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2563 | 0.47 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0334 | 5.25*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9663 | 158.10*** |
Persistence:
0.728
Half-life:
2 days
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