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V-Lab

Warehouses De Pauw CVA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

1,167.47

increased by 82.34

1 Week

1,094.47

increased by 9.34

1 Month

1,129.84

increased by 44.71

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Warehouses De Pauw CVA ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 1999 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0995
1.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8147
29.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0995
-0.47
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1502
2.13**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0240
1.19
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9747
156.79***

Persistence:

0.864

Half-life:

5 days