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Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

320.70

decreased by 70.24

1 Week

357.97

decreased by 32.97

1 Month

290.88

decreased by 100.06

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 22, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2353 trading days (~9.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1837
1.08
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7321
52.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1677
0.53
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.04
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2231
3.66***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7769
4.46***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2353 days