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Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

307.62

increased by 28.72

1 Week

297.14

increased by 18.24

1 Month

262.23

decreased by 16.67

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 04:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 22, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2345 trading days (~9.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1838
1.08
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7321
52.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1675
0.53
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.04
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2220
3.65***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7780
4.51***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2345 days