Simon Property Group Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
36.94
1 Week
36.22
1 Month
37.00
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 14, 1993 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0709 | 1.10 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8564 | 36.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0709 | -0.46 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2291 | 5.59*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1072 | 2.65*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8872 | 6.08*** |
Persistence:
0.892
Half-life:
6 days
Other Simon Property Group Inc Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Real Estate