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FII Vida Nova ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

161,909,500.00

decreased by 19,303,300.00

1 Week

161,453,820.00

decreased by 19,758,980.00

1 Month

121,423,872.00

decreased by 59,788,928.00

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FII Vida Nova ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 4, 2015 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1566 trading days (~6.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1452
44.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8539
461.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0010
0.27
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

169,429,400.0000

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1566 days