V-Lab
BXP Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
168.92
1 Week
157.52
1 Month
145.60
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0798 | 1.58 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8337 | 31.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0798 | -0.61 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2556 | 1.89* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0317 | 2.29** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9664 | 100.65*** |
Persistence:
0.874
Half-life:
5 days
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