V-Lab
Hedge Recebiveis FII ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
72,113.66
1 Week
71,846.86
1 Month
109,452.87
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3260 | 0.14 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3324 | 3.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3260 | -0.07 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5027 | 0.26 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4973 | 0.28 |
Persistence:
0.495
Half-life:
1 days
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