Hedge Recebiveis FII ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026
1 Day
114,749.10
1 Week
65,400.51
1 Month
68,551.85
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2021 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 31 | |
| αARCH | 0.3168 | 3.29*** |
| βGARCH | 0.3355 | 3.29*** |
| γleverage | -0.3168 | -2.07** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.3015 | 2.29** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.6985 | 7.32*** |
0.494
Persistence1d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3168 | 3.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3355 | 3.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3168 | -2.07** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3015 | 2.29** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6985 | 7.32*** |
Persistence:
0.494
Half-life:
1 days
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