Big Yellow Group PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
2,746.38
1 Week
2,852.03
1 Month
2,698.76
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 04:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2000 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 52 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 52 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0264 | 2.77*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9736 | 902.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0264 | -1.57 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 3.97*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8542 | 2.37** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.23 |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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