V-Lab
Big Yellow Group PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
2,207.13
1 Week
2,307.16
1 Month
2,490.43
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0482 | 1.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9061 | 26.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0482 | -0.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.0302 | 2.87*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0592 | 1.42 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9385 | 10.15*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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