Wereldhave NV ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
4,029.99
1 Week
4,692.56
1 Month
5,437.22
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:39 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1238 | 0.31 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7550 | 13.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1124 | 0.15 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.43 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0859 | 0.45 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9141 | 10.65*** |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
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