V-Lab
Wereldhave NV ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
5,993.49
1 Week
5,428.15
1 Month
5,100.10
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1237 | 0.31 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7552 | 13.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1123 | 0.15 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.43 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0858 | 0.45 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9142 | 10.67*** |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
Other Wereldhave NV Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Real Estate