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Wereldhave NV Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

6,734.24

increased by 16.23

1 Week

6,934.04

increased by 216.03

1 Month

6,896.09

increased by 178.08

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wereldhave NV ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 46 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4587
3.94***
αARCH0.0790
9.77***
βGARCH0.9062
88.48***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.4443
-4.53***
γ20.7483
4.41***
γ3-0.4388
-3.13***
γ40.1181
1.21
γ50.0667
1.09
γ6-0.0277
-0.54
γ7-0.0868
-1.94*
γ80.2099
5.23***
γ9-0.2696
-6.49***
γ100.1338
2.11**

0.985

Persistence

46d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4587
3.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0790
9.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9062
88.48***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.4443
-4.53***
γ20.7483
4.41***
γ3-0.4388
-3.13***
γ40.1181
1.21
γ50.0667
1.09
γ6-0.0277
-0.54
γ7-0.0868
-1.94*
γ80.2099
5.23***
γ9-0.2696
-6.49***
γ100.1338
2.11**

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days