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V-Lab

Wereldhave NV Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

4,204.26

decreased by 306.05

1 Week

4,738.46

increased by 228.15

1 Month

5,085.51

increased by 575.20

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:41 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wereldhave NV ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 47 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4355
3.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0790
9.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9063
88.60***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.4569
-4.58***
γ20.7656
4.46***
γ3-0.4406
-3.14***
γ40.1102
1.16
γ50.0713
1.16
γ6-0.0217
-0.40
γ7-0.0990
-2.10**
γ80.2154
5.08***
γ9-0.2484
-5.55***
γ100.0671
0.97

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days