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V-Lab

FII Vida Nova Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

178,460,700.00

decreased by 32,062,800.00

1 Week

176,919,500.00

decreased by 33,604,000.00

1 Month

152,413,443.00

decreased by 58,110,057.00

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:01 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FII Vida Nova ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 4, 2015 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.4288
2.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1835
6.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6993
15.78***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-5.1688
-3.17***
γ210.5246
4.54***
γ3-7.2490
-5.35***
γ42.3973
2.51**
γ50.5097
0.51
γ6-2.0045
-1.66*
γ74.8681
2.61***

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days