Macerich Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
296.78
decreased by 14.79
1 Week
294.56
decreased by 17.01
1 Month
293.28
decreased by 18.29
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 32 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.3995 | 7.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0849 | 12.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8938 | 103.26*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -0.0647 | -6.81*** |
| γ2 | 0.0948 | 6.61*** |
| γ3 | -0.0307 | -2.78*** |
| γ4 | 0.0366 | 3.63*** |
| γ5 | -0.0826 | -6.33*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
Other Macerich Co/The Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Real Estate