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Macerich Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

296.78

decreased by 14.79

1 Week

294.56

decreased by 17.01

1 Month

293.28

decreased by 18.29

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Macerich Co/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 32 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3995
7.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0849
12.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8938
103.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.0647
-6.81***
γ20.0948
6.61***
γ3-0.0307
-2.78***
γ40.0366
3.63***
γ5-0.0826
-6.33***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days