Skip to main content
V-Lab

Shaftesbury Capital PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

2,933.01

decreased by 122.79

1 Week

3,026.85

decreased by 28.95

1 Month

2,846.72

decreased by 209.08

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 04:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shaftesbury Capital PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 11, 2010 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 216 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1853
6.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0548
9.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9420
156.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0038
-0.84

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

216 days