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Shaftesbury Capital PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

1,972.19

decreased by 78.58

1 Week

2,133.25

increased by 82.48

1 Month

2,555.40

increased by 504.63

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shaftesbury Capital PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 11, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 217 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1772
6.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0554
9.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9414
155.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0048
-1.02

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

217 days