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Shaftesbury Capital PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

2,890.47

decreased by 113.53

1 Week

2,988.03

decreased by 15.97

1 Month

2,792.18

decreased by 211.82

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 04:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shaftesbury Capital PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 11, 2010 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 905 trading days (~3.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 38% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
4.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0455
18.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9450
670.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0175
4.16***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

905 days