V-Lab
Shaftesbury Capital PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
1,936.48
decreased by 82.85
1 Week
2,093.79
increased by 74.46
1 Month
2,523.80
increased by 504.47
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 11, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 811 trading days (~3.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 39% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 4.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0457 | 18.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9445 | 665.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0178 | 4.22*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
811 days
Other Shaftesbury Capital PLC Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Real Estate