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Apartment Investment & Management Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

2,893.27

increased by 265.08

1 Week

2,560.76

decreased by 67.43

1 Month

2,096.84

decreased by 531.35

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Apartment Investment & Management Co ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 49% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
6.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0597
34.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9255
787.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0295
10.64***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-