ESR-REIT Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
5,465.10
decreased by 149.18
1 Week
5,454.26
decreased by 160.02
1 Month
4,769.09
decreased by 845.19
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:45 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 4, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0617 | 13.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9365 | 441.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0036 | 0.70 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
Other ESR-REIT Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Real Estate