V-Lab
Equity Residential Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
76.06
increased by 2.43
1 Week
70.50
decreased by 3.13
1 Month
63.68
decreased by 9.95
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 12, 1993 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 887 trading days (~3.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 43% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2308 | 7.59*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0363 | 23.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9551 | 1,020.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0157 | 6.26*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
887 days
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