Equity Residential Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
84.21
increased by 2.46
1 Week
78.93
decreased by 2.82
1 Month
78.95
decreased by 2.80
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 10:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 12, 1993 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 809 trading days (~3.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 28% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4719 | 7.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0492 | 26.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9431 | 735.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0138 | 5.20*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
809 days
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