British Land Co PLC/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
855.26
decreased by 20.92
1 Week
884.17
increased by 7.99
1 Month
852.72
decreased by 23.46
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 03:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2795 trading days (~11.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 207% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0726 | 4.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0163 | 11.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9665 | 959.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0338 | 14.55*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2795 days
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