V-Lab
British Land Co PLC/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
823.47
increased by 71.42
1 Week
757.41
increased by 5.36
1 Month
807.68
increased by 55.63
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2650 trading days (~10.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 209% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0657 | 4.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0163 | 11.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9665 | 960.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0339 | 14.61*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2650 days
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