British Land Co PLC/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
918.39
1 Week
949.76
1 Month
890.58
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 03:33 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 176% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0835 | 1.54 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8308 | 24.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1471 | 2.92*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.99*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0343 | 5.95*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9641 | 50.81*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
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