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British Land Co PLC/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
906.64
1 Week
960.90
1 Month
860.73
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 03:39 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 177% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 41 | |
| αARCH | 0.0832 | 9.97*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8311 | 53.64*** |
| γleverage | 0.1475 | 7.52*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.95 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0343 | 3.65*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9641 | 97.07*** |
0.988
Persistence57d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0832 | 9.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8311 | 53.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1475 | 7.52*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.95 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0343 | 3.65*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9641 | 97.07*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
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