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V-Lab

Covivio ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

1,058.72

decreased by 111.48

1 Week

1,277.10

increased by 106.90

1 Month

1,326.53

increased by 156.33

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Covivio ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 8, 1995 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1111
0.64
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7178
11.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1111
-0.29
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.7340
0.97
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0812
0.89
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9158
20.41***

Persistence:

0.773

Half-life:

3 days