V-Lab
Attacq Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
1,280.65
1 Week
1,293.00
1 Month
1,345.25
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 14, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1266 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6624 | 2.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0440 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.4205 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3670 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6330 | 0.13 |
Persistence:
0.811
Half-life:
3 days
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