V-Lab
Attacq Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
1,223.48
decreased by 13.12
1 Week
1,246.72
increased by 10.12
1 Month
1,410.75
increased by 174.15
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 14, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7142 | 4.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1009 | 8.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8802 | 57.26*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.1723 | 8.17*** |
| γ2 | -0.3068 | -7.69*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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