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Apartment Investment & Management Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

4,666.34

increased by 250.13

1 Week

4,402.53

decreased by 13.68

1 Month

3,877.67

decreased by 538.54

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Apartment Investment & Management Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 1994 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7677
αARCH0.0677
βGARCH0.9323
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0192

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7677
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0677
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9323
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0192

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-