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British Land Co PLC/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

866.70

decreased by 31.45

1 Week

913.70

increased by 15.55

1 Month

895.18

decreased by 2.97

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of British Land Co PLC/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 346573 trading days (~1375.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~346573 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4592
4.86***
αARCH0.0353
0.52
βGARCH0.9647
14.15***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0050
-0.13

1.000

Persistence

346573d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4592
4.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0353
0.52
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9647
14.15***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0050
-0.13

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

346573 days