British Land Co PLC/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026
1 Day
866.70
decreased by 31.45
1 Week
913.70
increased by 15.55
1 Month
895.18
decreased by 2.97
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 346573 trading days (~1375.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~346573 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4592 | 4.86*** |
| αARCH | 0.0353 | 0.52 |
| βGARCH | 0.9647 | 14.15*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0050 | -0.13 |
1.000
Persistence346573d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4592 | 4.86*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0353 | 0.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9647 | 14.15*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0050 | -0.13 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
346573 days
Other British Land Co PLC/The Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Real Estate