V-Lab
American Tower Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
31.19
decreased by 2.29
1 Week
30.64
decreased by 2.84
1 Month
26.77
decreased by 6.71
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 40 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3687 | 4.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0966 | 14.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8863 | 124.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.0063 | 1.82* |
| γ2 | -0.0022 | -0.42 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
Other American Tower Corp Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Real Estate