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V-Lab

Gecina SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

749.04

increased by 43.82

1 Week

751.72

increased by 46.50

1 Month

713.20

increased by 7.98

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gecina SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 1991 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 26 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2015
4.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1033
10.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8707
66.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.0962
-3.87***
γ20.1154
3.27***
γ30.0451
2.18**
γ4-0.1246
-8.17***
γ50.1084
8.65***
γ6-0.0839
-4.60***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days