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V-Lab

Equity Residential Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

72.02

increased by 1.69

1 Week

67.86

decreased by 2.47

1 Month

62.74

decreased by 7.59

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Equity Residential ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 1993 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 183 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3910
5.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0453
11.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9510
207.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.0237
-2.10**
γ20.0353
2.02**
γ3-0.0046
-0.36
γ4-0.0123
-0.76

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

183 days