V-Lab
Equity Residential ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
78.45
1 Week
73.29
1 Month
67.34
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 12, 1993 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0700 | 1.60 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8520 | 23.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0700 | -0.59 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1798 | 2.69*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0359 | 7.14*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9619 | 43.68*** |
Persistence:
0.887
Half-life:
6 days
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