V-Lab
Prologis Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
19.11
1 Week
20.20
1 Month
19.11
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 21, 1997 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 41 | |
| αARCH | 0.0685 | 9.23*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8678 | 26.69*** |
| γleverage | -0.0685 | -0.66 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0735 | 1.25 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0801 | 1.95* |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9168 | 22.04*** |
0.902
Persistence7d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0685 | 9.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8678 | 26.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0685 | -0.66 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0735 | 1.25 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0801 | 1.95* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9168 | 22.04*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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