Covivio Hotels SACA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
884,802.50
1 Week
929,955.52
1 Month
1,264,007.61
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 30, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1550 | 1.55 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7823 | 56.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1550 | -0.70 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.11 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0589 | 2.06** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9411 | 54.06*** |
Persistence:
0.860
Half-life:
5 days
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