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First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

386.62

increased by 24.44

1 Week

358.02

decreased by 4.16

1 Month

380.53

increased by 18.35

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 30, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0949
6.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9166
454.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0795
-4.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.04
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9983
3,683.62***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days