V-Lab
Macerich Co/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
216.08
1 Week
235.48
1 Month
243.85
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0898 | 1.63 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8549 | 124.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0898 | -0.71 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.7067 | 7.02*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1769 | 5.38*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8157 | 5.41*** |
Persistence:
0.900
Half-life:
7 days
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