V-Lab
Apartment Investment & Management Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
3,639.94
1 Week
3,585.34
1 Month
3,276.35
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 22, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0794 | 5.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9072 | 211.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0794 | -1.62 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.7590 | 28.66*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0118 | 3.17*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9864 | 159.49*** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
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