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Savur Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

12,341.41

decreased by 2,094.70

1 Week

5,513.99

decreased by 8,922.12

1 Month

1,424.21

decreased by 13,011.90

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 02:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Savur Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.24
αARCH0.1074
0.34
βGARCH0.6985
2.41**
γleverage0.3882
0.32

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.24
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1074
0.34
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6985
2.41**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3882
0.32

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-