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Savur Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
187.71
1 Week
71.20
1 Month
80.59
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.9999 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0025 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1693 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0230 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0108 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0224 |
Persistence:
0.918
Half-life:
8 days
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