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Savur Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

187.71

increased by 162.23

1 Week

71.20

increased by 45.72

1 Month

80.59

increased by 55.11

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Savur Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.9999
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0025
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1693
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0230
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0108
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0224

Persistence:

0.918

Half-life:

8 days