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Vivmark Residential Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026

1 Day

37.80

decreased by 0.51

1 Week

38.06

decreased by 0.25

1 Month

38.31

increased by 0.00

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/27/2024

to

10/27/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vivmark Residential ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 1993 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1232 trading days (~4.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1232 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1792
1.53
αARCH0.0386
6.17***
βGARCH0.9536
254.09***
γleverage0.0144
1.41

0.999

Persistence

1232d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1792
1.53
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0386
6.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9536
254.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0144
1.41

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1232 days