V-Lab
Vivmark Residential Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
44.95
decreased by 0.25
1 Week
45.46
increased by 0.26
1 Month
53.13
increased by 7.93
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 12, 1993 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1073 trading days (~4.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1073 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1943 | 1.64 |
| αARCH | 0.0377 | 6.05*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9543 | 253.80*** |
| γleverage | 0.0148 | 1.46 |
0.999
Persistence1073d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1943 | 1.64 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0377 | 6.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9543 | 253.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0148 | 1.46 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1073 days
Other Vivmark Residential Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Real Estate