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Eurocommercial Properties NV Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

4,892.74

decreased by 107.22

1 Week

5,144.55

increased by 144.59

1 Month

5,444.21

increased by 444.25

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Eurocommercial Properties NV ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 21, 1991 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 122% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0203
9.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9673
445.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0248
4.65***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days