BXP Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
181.33
increased by 4.28
1 Week
177.37
increased by 0.32
1 Month
180.38
increased by 3.33
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 836 trading days (~3.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 59% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6162 | 9.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0520 | 26.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9318 | 820.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0308 | 8.87*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
836 days
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