V-Lab
BXP Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
180.04
decreased by 5.45
1 Week
163.72
decreased by 21.77
1 Month
147.69
decreased by 37.80
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 831 trading days (~3.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 60% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6604 | 9.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0519 | 26.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9318 | 819.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0309 | 8.94*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
831 days
Other BXP Inc Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Real Estate