Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

579.02

decreased by 54.20

1 Week

634.86

increased by 1.64

1 Month

449.77

decreased by 183.45

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 22, 2007 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 61% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 61% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.7337
3.74***
αARCH0.1102
5.82***
βGARCH0.8562
91.46***
γleverage0.0672
2.41**

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.7337
3.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1102
5.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8562
91.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0672
2.41**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days