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Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

404.01

decreased by 54.90

1 Week

409.48

decreased by 49.43

1 Month

360.36

decreased by 98.55

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 22, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 61% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.7377
14.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1099
23.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8564
365.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0674
9.73***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-