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V-Lab

Hedge Recebiveis FII Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

202,624.70

decreased by 43,195.10

1 Week

238,189.86

decreased by 7,629.94

1 Month

219,969.35

decreased by 25,850.45

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 05:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hedge Recebiveis FII ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5081
2.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1948
1.99**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4699
1.92*
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.9071
0.13
γ2-7.9015
-0.65
γ314.7675
1.49
γ4-17.9783
-1.83*
γ517.8539
2.08**
γ6-6.8914
-1.26
γ7-0.8715
-0.13

Persistence:

0.665

Half-life:

2 days