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Hedge Recebiveis FII Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

79,832.27

increased by 49,938.49

1 Week

43,524.37

increased by 13,630.59

1 Month

49,305.38

increased by 19,411.60

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hedge Recebiveis FII ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2021 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7053
3.73***
αARCH0.2449
2.08**
βGARCH0.3800
1.91*
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-27.0173
-1.38
γ237.3734
1.11
γ3-27.2926
-1.12
γ439.6251
2.10**
γ5-47.8537
-2.74***
γ641.2242
3.31***
γ7-20.6748
-2.31**
γ811.9155
1.35
γ9-12.1702
-1.55
γ10-1.1891
-0.10

0.625

Persistence

1d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7053
3.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2449
2.08**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3800
1.91*
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-27.0173
-1.38
γ237.3734
1.11
γ3-27.2926
-1.12
γ439.6251
2.10**
γ5-47.8537
-2.74***
γ641.2242
3.31***
γ7-20.6748
-2.31**
γ811.9155
1.35
γ9-12.1702
-1.55
γ10-1.1891
-0.10

Persistence:

0.625

Half-life:

1 days