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V-Lab

Hedge Recebiveis FII Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

46,751.64

increased by 12,069.13

1 Week

46,091.68

increased by 11,409.17

1 Month

74,361.81

increased by 39,679.30

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hedge Recebiveis FII ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8246
3.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3248
2.22**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3774
2.18**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-23.4974
-1.38
γ232.6163
1.10
γ3-25.4676
-1.18
γ438.8949
2.28**
γ5-47.9208
-2.72***
γ643.3450
2.74***
γ7-24.2153
-2.07**
γ814.7846
1.35
γ9-19.1642
-1.47

Persistence:

0.702

Half-life:

2 days