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Hedge Recebiveis FII Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

49,619.85

decreased by 14,704.00

1 Week

63,970.38

decreased by 353.47

1 Month

63,913.18

decreased by 410.67

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 04:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hedge Recebiveis FII ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2021 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6226
3.66***
αARCH0.2106
2.06**
βGARCH0.3706
1.74*
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-30.7660
-1.36
γ242.5192
1.10
γ3-29.3324
-1.09
γ439.7554
2.05**
γ5-44.4854
-3.00***
γ632.5548
3.68***
γ7-10.8158
-0.97
γ86.2520
0.63
γ9-7.8463
-0.87
γ10-4.5862
-0.34

0.581

Persistence

1d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6226
3.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2106
2.06**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3706
1.74*
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-30.7660
-1.36
γ242.5192
1.10
γ3-29.3324
-1.09
γ439.7554
2.05**
γ5-44.4854
-3.00***
γ632.5548
3.68***
γ7-10.8158
-0.97
γ86.2520
0.63
γ9-7.8463
-0.87
γ10-4.5862
-0.34

Persistence:

0.581

Half-life:

1 days