V-Lab
Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ SpA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
45,774.92
1 Week
45,961.97
1 Month
39,400.50
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2005 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1147 | 0.63 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8553 | 86.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1147 | -0.33 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.75 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0447 | 0.65 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9548 | 124.45*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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