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Hedge Logistica Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
638,403.90
decreased by 37,001.60
1 Week
722,322.86
increased by 46,917.36
1 Month
900,045.09
increased by 224,639.59
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9323 | 216.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1354 | 7.52*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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