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ENAV S.p.A. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

4,355.14

decreased by 373.36

1 Week

4,820.27

increased by 91.77

1 Month

4,994.11

increased by 265.61

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ENAV S.p.A. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 26, 2016 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 26 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4747
11.09***
αARCH0.0847
7.56***
βGARCH0.8886
54.81***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0213
-3.59***

0.973

Persistence

26d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4747
11.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0847
7.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8886
54.81***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0213
-3.59***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

26 days