V-Lab
Empower Industries India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
10,273.82
increased by 6,248.22
1 Week
5,348.24
increased by 1,322.64
1 Month
4,687.03
increased by 661.43
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 33007 trading days (~131.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7926 | 0.19 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2390 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7610 | 0.03 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 0.3160 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 3.5082 | 0.02 |
| γ3 | -14.6278 | -0.11 |
| γ4 | 21.0705 | 0.11 |
| γ5 | -11.4127 | -0.06 |
| γ6 | -5.1094 | -0.04 |
| γ7 | 10.3722 | 0.27 |
| γ8 | -4.6690 | -0.16 |
| γ9 | 2.0188 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
33007 days
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