V-Lab
eMagin Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Wednesday, October 18th, 2023):
1 Day
10,696.58
1 Week
12,669.37
1 Month
14,429.91
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 17, 2023 at 10:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 2000 to Oct 13, 2023Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1283 trading days (~5.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.0890 | 2.10** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2138 | 19.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7857 | 69.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.3710 | 0.84 |
| γ2 | -2.1923 | -2.79*** |
| γ3 | 5.0610 | 5.23*** |
| γ4 | -5.9466 | -6.30*** |
| γ5 | 3.9039 | 7.34*** |
| γ6 | -1.4187 | -4.53*** |
| γ7 | 0.1728 | 0.59 |
| γ8 | 0.0592 | 0.24 |
| γ9 | -0.8224 | -1.94* |
| γ10 | 2.6199 | 3.01*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1283 days
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