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ECP Emerging Growth Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

12,856,460.00

decreased by 7,611,950.00

1 Week

16,662,435.00

decreased by 3,805,975.00

1 Month

5,074,120.81

decreased by 15,394,289.19

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 05:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ECP Emerging Growth Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 64 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8495
1.48
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3611
4.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6281
6.92***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.0985
-0.03
γ20.6679
0.13
γ30.8341
0.22
γ4-6.9922
-2.54**
γ516.8134
5.11***
γ6-24.1112
-6.00***
γ723.8570
6.97***
γ8-39.1927
-5.90***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days