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ECP Emerging Growth Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

717,078,200.00

decreased by 48,187,700.00

1 Week

795,552,080.00

increased by 30,286,180.00

1 Month

742,072,645.45

decreased by 23,193,254.55

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ECP Emerging Growth Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 341 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9797
2.18**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0839
2.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9141
33.33***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ11.2538
0.19
γ2-1.5382
-0.16
γ32.4719
0.49
γ4-8.1653
-2.03**
γ517.1290
2.89***
γ6-23.5736
-3.22***
γ718.9615
2.46**
γ8-4.7263
-0.23

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

341 days